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(At the moment) I'm most interested in Prediction Markets for widely distributed decision making (more realistically "facilitating") to be used inside organizations; I dabbled a bit in theory & practice when working on an (unrelated) project for a certain Austrian betting company but haven't really thought much about them since. I'm happy Guan pointed us to Chris Hibbert's blog, it's great reading, e.g. (duh, obvious) wrt/ Google's internal markets and the issues they had to contend with (insiders). Also: "The main problem with trying to use Prediction Markets to foresee trends is that you have to ask the right question." |
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